Ship/Sink

Problem Validation
Test

This test confirms if a suspected problem is real and worth solving. Rigorous validation prevents building solutions for non-existent issues.

A precise hypothesis focuses validation efforts. This sets clear testing parameters.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • Vague hypotheses lead to scattered testing.
  • No sharing causes misalignment.

Detailed personas ensure testing with the right people. This improves insight relevance.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • Generic personas yield broad, useless data.
  • Wrong personas validate false problems.

Sufficient sample size provides reliable data. This reduces individual bias impact.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • Too few participants make findings anecdotal.
  • Biased recruitment confirms assumptions.

Open discussions reveal if the problem resonates. This uncovers nuances.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • Solution talk biases responses.
  • Shallow probing misses depth.

Surveys provide measurable validation. This complements qualitative insights.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • Poor questions yield garbage data.
  • Low responses limit statistical power.

Direct observation shows real actions. This validates beyond self-reports.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • No observation misses behavioral truths.
  • Hawthorne effect alters behavior.

Reviewing alternatives shows market validation. This reveals gaps or saturations.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • Ignoring competitors leads to reinvention.
  • Copying misses differentiation.

Objective criteria determine problem validity. This enables clear decisions.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • No thresholds make validation subjective.
  • Cherry-picking data misleads.

A comprehensive report communicates results. This informs stakeholders.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • Incomplete reports lose credibility.
  • No sharing limits impact.

Clear decisions guide resource allocation. This prevents sunk cost fallacies.

Sub-actions:

Pitfalls:

  • Proceeding without validation wastes time.
  • Abandoning too soon misses opportunities.

How to Use

Execute over 2-4 weeks; require 70%+ validation signals to proceed.

Expected Outcomes

Confirmed problem worth solving or early pivot to save resources.